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Red57
612014.5
955814.0
438123.4
Blue59
365620.6
365519.5
44229.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607501001502005759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#23
23.40.0
26.326.4
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End2.0
red by 2.8
3656
#27
20.61.5
27.025.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Second
6120
#38
14.50.0
17.117.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.0
End1.4
blue by 4.9
3655
#29
19.51.5
24.022.5
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End0.3
Third
9558
#45
14.00.0
12.913.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End1.4
red by 4.1
4422
#35
9.91.5
15.013.5
Auto5.4
Teleop3.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed79%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned