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Red69
492613.1
5126.7
285124.5
Blue82
283421.0
376728.5
481017.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76702040601001206982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#14
26.70.1
28.228.3
Auto11.0
Teleop13.4
End2.2
blue by 1.9
28.51.0
28.629.6
Auto13.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Second
24.50.1
24.724.8
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End2.6
red by 3.5
2834
#17
21.01.0
20.021.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Third
4926
#43
13.10.1
15.215.3
Auto8.7
Teleop1.6
End2.8
blue by 4.3
4810
#28
17.31.0
15.816.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned36%Ensemble oddsEarned