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Red45
283213.2
546038.8
46924.3
Blue55
159611.0
170131.4
57045.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92490204060801001201404555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#22
38.82.5
42.540.0
Auto13.2
Teleop23.9
End1.7
red by 7.4
1701
#12
31.40.0
27.727.7
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End1.1
Second
469
#21
24.32.5
22.620.1
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
red by 13.3
1596
#42
11.00.0
14.814.8
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Third
2832
#32
13.22.5
12.710.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End1.3
red by 8.1
5704
#46
5.10.0
7.27.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed