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Red95
353829.7
107633.2
168427.1
Blue54
22626.3
872811.3
931220.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91780501001502009554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.7
30.731.4
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End1.4
red by 6.9
226
#25
26.31.3
26.625.2
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.8
Second
29.70.7
26.627.3
Auto10.4
Teleop16.0
End3.3
red by 9.1
9312
#33
20.61.3
26.725.4
Auto10.9
Teleop9.3
End0.4
Third
1684
#20
27.10.7
23.424.1
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End0.6
red by 15.8
8728
#34
11.31.3
18.617.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed