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Red60
103818.9
719714.9
540634.4
Blue54
30218.6
481017.3
917620.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7562020401001201401606054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.4
30.129.6
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End4.5
red by 13.7
9176
#15
20.80.2
20.019.8
Auto10.8
Teleop9.3
End0.7
Second
1038
#16
18.90.4
19.318.8
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End4.4
red by 0.3
302
#13
18.60.2
20.620.3
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End4.0
Third
7197
#30
14.90.4
17.316.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.5
blue by 2.5
4810
#28
17.30.2
16.816.6
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
80%Ensemble oddsEarned41%Ensemble oddsMissed