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Red74
931220.6
955814.0
571237.4
Blue78
24713.4
607818.8
721119.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions904801001507478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.5
38.037.5
Auto14.3
Teleop20.5
End2.6
red by 17.7
7211
#19
19.70.0
14.814.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End0.7
Second
9312
#33
20.60.5
25.424.9
Auto10.9
Teleop9.3
End0.4
red by 1.8
6078
#26
18.80.0
16.216.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Third
9558
#45
14.00.5
13.012.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End1.4
red by 0.5
247
#31
13.40.0
17.317.3
Auto7.2
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsEarned