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Red70
612014.5
364127.0
557719.3
Blue29
222410.5
159611.0
68619.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions733802060801001201407029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#18
27.00.5
26.727.2
Auto4.9
Teleop19.5
End2.6
red by 16.0
1596
#42
11.00.7
14.814.1
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Second
5577
#24
19.30.5
18.118.7
Auto7.6
Teleop9.8
End1.9
red by 8.8
2224
#44
10.50.7
13.012.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Third
6120
#38
14.50.5
17.117.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.0
End1.4
red by 4.9
6861
#37
9.60.7
10.910.3
Auto5.6
Teleop2.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed