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Red38
107633.2
56412.8
557719.3
Blue68
68619.6
365620.6
150629.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65720501001502002503003868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.22.1
32.730.6
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End1.4
red by 3.8
29.40.1
29.429.5
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End4.3
Second
5577
#24
19.32.1
18.716.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.8
End1.9
blue by 1.2
3656
#27
20.60.1
24.324.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Third
5641
#36
2.82.1
8.16.0
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End-0.6
blue by 6.9
6861
#37
9.60.1
10.310.4
Auto5.6
Teleop2.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed69%Ensemble oddsEarned