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Qual 472024 Rainbow Rumble
Red48
365519.5
22626.3
721119.7
Blue31
159611.0
24713.4
719714.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73510204060801001201404831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#25
26.31.0
24.8→23.8
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.8
red by 11.4
7197
#30
14.91.2
16.8→15.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.5
Second
7211
#19
19.71.0
14.7→13.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End0.7
red by 6.2
247
#31
13.41.2
17.3→16.2
Auto7.2
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Third
3655
#29
19.51.0
23.6→22.6
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End0.3
red by 8.5
1596
#42
11.01.2
14.1→13.0
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed