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Qual 492024 Rainbow Rumble
Red91
571237.4
103818.9
170131.4
Blue39
376728.5
317526.4
51B5.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96690501509139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#5
37.40.5
37.8→38.3
Auto14.3
Teleop20.5
End2.6
red by 8.9
3767
#4
28.51.8
30.0→28.2
Auto13.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Second
1701
#12
31.40.5
27.4→27.9
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End1.1
red by 5.0
3175
#11
26.41.8
24.7→22.9
Auto9.2
Teleop16.1
End1.0
Third
1038
#16
18.90.5
18.8→19.3
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End4.4
red by 13.2
51B
#41
5.73.0
11.1→8.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed