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Red59
168427.1
607818.8
43840.8
Blue60
222410.5
5126.7
438123.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3979020601001201405960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#20
27.11.3
24.325.6
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End0.6
red by 0.5
51
#14
26.70.4
27.927.4
Auto11.0
Teleop13.4
End2.2
Second
6078
#26
18.81.3
16.517.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 4.6
4381
#23
23.40.4
26.325.8
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Third
4384
#40
0.81.3
-1.10.2
Auto2.5
Teleop-1.3
End-0.4
blue by 9.7
2224
#44
10.50.4
12.512.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed