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Qual 512024 Rainbow Rumble
Red58
557719.3
30218.6
365620.6
Blue95
81832.3
283213.2
353829.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667702040601001205895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#27
20.60.5
24.5→23.9
Auto6.9
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 11.7
818
#9
32.31.8
30.3→32.1
Auto11.6
Teleop18.6
End2.1
Second
5577
#24
19.30.5
16.6→16.1
Auto7.6
Teleop9.8
End1.9
blue by 10.4
3538
#6
29.71.8
26.5→28.3
Auto10.4
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Third
302
#13
18.60.5
19.7→19.2
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End4.0
red by 5.4
2832
#32
13.21.8
11.1→12.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
55%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsMissed