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Red70
81832.3
222410.5
150629.4
Blue61
540634.4
365519.5
931220.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861100501502007061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#9
32.31.1
32.231.1
Auto11.6
Teleop18.6
End2.1
blue by 2.1
34.42.4
36.133.7
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End4.5
Second
29.41.1
34.433.3
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End4.3
red by 8.8
9312
#33
20.62.4
30.728.3
Auto10.9
Teleop9.3
End0.4
Third
2224
#44
10.51.1
14.413.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.2
blue by 8.9
3655
#29
19.52.4
30.327.9
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsMissed59%Ensemble oddsMissed