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Red77
828010.1
376728.5
107633.2
Blue70
557719.3
719714.9
546038.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80980501502007770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.5
32.732.2
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End1.4
blue by 5.6
5460
#22
38.81.1
45.544.4
Auto13.2
Teleop23.9
End1.7
Second
28.50.5
31.330.8
Auto13.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
red by 9.2
5577
#24
19.31.1
20.419.2
Auto7.6
Teleop9.8
End1.9
Third
8280
#39
10.10.5
10.710.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End1.2
blue by 4.8
7197
#30
14.91.1
21.119.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsEarned