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Red38
365519.5
364127.0
4530.9
Blue43
481017.3
721119.7
872811.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565102040801001201403843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#18
27.00.8
26.325.4
Auto4.9
Teleop19.5
End2.6
red by 7.3
7211
#19
19.70.3
13.713.5
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End0.7
Second
3655
#29
19.50.8
22.621.7
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End0.3
red by 2.1
4810
#28
17.30.3
16.716.4
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End2.3
Third
453
#48
0.90.8
1.60.8
Auto3.5
Teleop-2.7
End0.0
blue by 10.4
8728
#34
11.30.3
16.616.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed