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Red55
5126.7
43840.8
365620.6
Blue75
931220.6
776935.5
376728.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5010501505575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#14
26.70.1
27.427.3
Auto11.0
Teleop13.4
End2.2
blue by 8.8
7769
#10
35.51.2
36.835.5
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End2.8
Second
3656
#27
20.60.1
23.923.8
Auto6.9
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 7.9
28.51.2
28.227.0
Auto13.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Third
4384
#40
0.80.1
0.20.1
Auto2.5
Teleop-1.3
End-0.4
blue by 19.8
9312
#33
20.61.2
23.822.5
Auto10.9
Teleop9.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed