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Red68
571237.4
557719.3
84247.4
Blue69
46924.3
170131.4
317526.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688002040601001201401606869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.1
38.338.2
Auto14.3
Teleop20.5
End2.6
red by 6.0
1701
#12
31.40.1
27.927.7
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End1.1
Second
5577
#24
19.30.1
16.116.0
Auto7.6
Teleop9.8
End1.9
blue by 7.0
3175
#11
26.40.1
22.922.7
Auto9.2
Teleop16.1
End1.0
Third
8424
#47
7.40.1
8.48.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End-0.3
blue by 16.9
469
#21
24.30.1
20.320.2
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed