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Red55
24713.4
168427.1
30218.6
Blue87
3341.1
721119.7
364127.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638902040801001201405587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#20
27.10.7
25.624.9
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End0.6
blue by 13.9
33
#2
41.10.5
38.639.1
Auto12.3
Teleop25.9
End3.0
Second
302
#13
18.60.7
19.218.5
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End4.0
blue by 8.4
3641
#18
27.00.5
25.425.9
Auto4.9
Teleop19.5
End2.6
Third
247
#31
13.40.7
15.614.9
Auto7.2
Teleop4.6
End1.6
blue by 6.2
7211
#19
19.70.5
13.514.0
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsMissed56%Ensemble oddsMissed