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Qual 642024 Rainbow Rumble
Red84
107633.2
540634.4
283213.2
Blue36
607818.8
103818.9
365519.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8462020401001201401608436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#1
34.40.2
29.2→29.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End4.5
red by 14.9
3655
#29
19.51.7
21.7→20.1
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End0.3
Second
1076
#7
33.20.2
31.5→31.7
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End1.4
red by 14.3
1038
#16
18.91.7
19.3→17.6
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End4.4
Third
2832
#32
13.20.2
12.9→13.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End1.3
blue by 5.6
6078
#26
18.81.7
17.8→16.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed64%Ensemble oddsMissed