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Red64
283213.2
955814.0
776935.5
Blue81
364127.0
492613.1
107633.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6578020401001201406481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7769
#10
35.50.1
33.333.2
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End2.8
red by 2.3
33.20.3
30.630.9
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End1.4
Second
9558
#45
14.00.1
14.114.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End1.4
blue by 13.0
3641
#18
27.00.3
25.926.2
Auto4.9
Teleop19.5
End2.6
Third
2832
#32
13.20.1
13.313.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End1.3
red by 0.2
4926
#43
13.10.3
12.813.1
Auto8.7
Teleop1.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed