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Red117
546038.8
719714.9
540634.4
Blue51
168427.1
30218.6
365519.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956905015011751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#22
38.80.4
36.737.1
Auto13.2
Teleop23.9
End1.7
red by 11.7
1684
#20
27.10.5
27.126.7
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End0.6
Second
34.40.4
32.332.8
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End4.5
red by 14.9
3655
#29
19.50.5
19.519.0
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End0.3
Third
7197
#30
14.90.4
13.814.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.5
blue by 3.8
302
#13
18.60.5
18.618.2
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End4.0