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Red85
365519.5
30218.6
168427.1
Blue93
376728.5
438123.4
353829.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68900204060801001201408593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#20
27.10.5
26.727.1
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End0.6
blue by 2.6
29.70.1
28.929.0
Auto10.4
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Second
3655
#29
19.50.5
19.019.5
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End0.3
blue by 9.0
28.50.1
27.727.8
Auto13.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Third
302
#13
18.60.5
18.218.6
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End4.0
blue by 4.8
4381
#23
23.40.1
22.622.7
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End2.0