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Red108
46924.3
317526.4
81832.3
Blue51
5126.7
931220.6
285124.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928020406010012014016018010851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#9
32.30.5
31.832.3
Auto11.6
Teleop18.6
End2.1
red by 5.7
51
#14
26.70.6
27.326.7
Auto11.0
Teleop13.4
End2.2
Second
3175
#11
26.40.5
25.926.4
Auto9.2
Teleop16.1
End1.0
red by 1.9
24.50.6
25.124.5
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End2.6
Third
469
#21
24.30.5
23.924.3
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
red by 3.7
9312
#33
20.60.6
21.220.6
Auto10.9
Teleop9.3
End0.4