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Red116
546038.8
719714.9
540634.4
Blue111
107633.2
22626.3
776935.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9210120406080120140160116111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#22
38.80.6
37.137.8
Auto13.2
Teleop23.9
End1.7
red by 3.3
7769
#10
35.50.5
33.834.3
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End2.8
Second
34.40.6
32.833.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End4.5
red by 1.2
33.20.5
31.532.0
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End1.4
Third
7197
#30
14.90.6
14.214.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.5
blue by 11.4
226
#25
26.30.5
24.625.1
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.8