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Red146
721119.7
170131.4
3341.1
Blue106
571237.4
150629.4
364127.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91103050150200146106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
41.11.4
38.239.6
Auto12.3
Teleop25.9
End3.0
red by 3.7
37.40.3
36.737.0
Auto14.3
Teleop20.5
End2.6
Second
1701
#12
31.41.4
28.529.9
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End1.1
red by 2.0
29.40.3
28.729.0
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End4.3
Third
7211
#19
19.71.4
16.818.2
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End0.7
blue by 7.3
3641
#18
27.00.3
26.326.6
Auto4.9
Teleop19.5
End2.6