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Red80
205431.3
550115.5
276733.5
Blue70
975810.1
423728.3
345214.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93520204060801001201408070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.0
33.333.3
Auto12.5
Teleop17.8
End3.2
red by 5.3
28.30.3
28.128.4
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End1.3
Second
31.30.0
31.031.0
Auto12.0
Teleop15.6
End3.7
red by 16.8
14.50.3
14.314.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Third
5501
#20
15.50.0
15.315.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
red by 5.4
9758
#23
10.10.3
9.810.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End0.2