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Red96
205431.3
550115.5
276733.5
Blue85
505613.0
423728.3
345214.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935702040801001201409685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.3
33.333.5
Auto12.5
Teleop17.8
End3.2
red by 5.3
28.30.1
28.428.3
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End1.3
Second
31.30.3
31.031.3
Auto12.0
Teleop15.6
End3.7
red by 16.8
14.50.1
14.614.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Third
5501
#20
15.50.3
15.315.5
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
red by 2.5
5056
#18
13.00.2
13.213.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.4