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Red35
550115.5
975810.1
89425.3
Blue13
52278.6
55596.6
97718.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50270204060801003513

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#3
25.30.6
21.320.7
Auto8.1
Teleop15.4
End1.8
red by 16.7
5227
#34
8.61.8
9.37.5
Auto5.5
Teleop1.7
End1.4
Second
5501
#20
15.50.8
10.19.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
red by 7.0
9771
#35
8.55.4
12.87.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Third
9758
#23
10.10.5
10.910.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End0.2
red by 3.5
5559
#37
6.61.1
8.77.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed