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Red31
976315.1
592616.2
78114.6
Blue43
51826.9
561013.9
584318.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29320204060801001201403143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5926
#24
16.20.5
12.713.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.2
End1.2
blue by 1.9
5843
#25
18.10.5
12.813.2
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Second
9763
#27
15.10.3
12.913.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End2.6
red by 1.3
5610
#17
13.90.5
10.510.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Third
7811
#33
4.60.3
1.21.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End0.7
blue by 2.4
5182
#32
6.90.3
5.76.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed