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Red42
477616.1
432516.4
592716.2
Blue39
92396.7
7423.1
505613.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50340204060801004239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#14
16.40.1
16.416.3
Auto6.4
Teleop7.9
End2.1
blue by 6.7
74
#5
23.10.2
14.915.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End2.3
Second
5927
#15
16.20.1
12.312.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End1.0
red by 3.2
5056
#18
13.00.2
11.411.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Third
4776
#19
16.10.1
14.414.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End1.2
red by 9.4
9239
#28
6.70.1
5.96.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed