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Red56
354620.3
658810.9
276733.5
Blue51
423728.3
567522.9
362019.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436902060801001205651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.51.5
20.922.5
Auto12.5
Teleop17.8
End3.2
red by 5.3
28.30.7
25.124.5
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End1.3
Second
3546
#10
20.31.5
14.916.4
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 2.5
22.91.1
15.914.8
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End0.4
Third
6588
#31
10.91.0
6.27.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.2
End2.1
blue by 8.2
19.11.1
17.916.8
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed