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Red33
922810.0
78145.7
421615.1
Blue8
95496.9
96714.8
72107.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24310406080100120140160338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4216
#12
15.10.3
9.79.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.3
red by 7.9
7210
#36
7.22.9
8.96.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Second
9228
#13
10.00.3
6.56.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.7
End0.8
red by 3.1
9549
#26
6.91.1
7.46.2
Auto1.4
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Third
7814
#29
5.70.3
6.76.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.4
red by 0.9
9671
#38
4.80.5
6.76.2
Auto1.2
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed