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Red58
89425.3
485515.7
96388.6
Blue16
78145.7
19408.9
345214.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51290204060801005816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#3
25.30.3
20.721.1
Auto8.1
Teleop15.4
End1.8
red by 10.9
14.51.0
12.211.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Second
4855
#16
15.70.5
12.713.2
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End1.6
red by 6.8
1940
#21
8.91.7
10.38.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End0.6
Third
9638
#22
8.60.5
9.910.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End1.2
red by 2.9
7814
#29
5.71.0
6.45.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed