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Red61
421615.1
7423.1
571232.0
Blue54
584318.1
705410.3
423728.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476102040801001201406154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.01.9
18.720.6
Auto13.6
Teleop16.4
End2.0
red by 3.8
28.30.3
24.524.2
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End1.3
Second
74
#5
23.11.9
16.218.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End2.3
red by 5.1
5843
#25
18.10.5
13.112.6
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Third
4216
#12
15.11.1
9.410.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.3
red by 4.8
7054
#30
10.30.5
16.315.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed