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Red36
561013.9
97718.5
354620.3
Blue40
974315.0
592616.2
92396.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422702060803640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#10
20.30.0
15.715.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End1.2
red by 4.1
5926
#24
16.21.5
12.213.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Second
5610
#17
13.90.0
11.011.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
blue by 1.1
9743
#11
15.00.9
8.39.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Third
9771
#35
8.50.0
9.39.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.8
red by 1.8
9239
#28
6.70.9
6.17.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed