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Red41
567522.9
72107.2
658810.9
Blue44
95496.9
550115.5
592716.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303220253540454144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.91.0
15.316.3
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End0.4
red by 6.6
5927
#15
16.21.4
14.616.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End1.0
Second
6588
#31
10.90.6
6.77.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.2
End2.1
blue by 4.7
5501
#20
15.51.4
9.310.8
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Third
7210
#36
7.21.0
5.36.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End0.7
red by 0.3
9549
#26
6.91.4
5.16.6
Auto1.4
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed