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Red12
51826.9
922810.0
432516.4
Blue74
78145.7
423728.3
276733.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286502040801001274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#14
16.41.2
15.714.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.9
End2.1
blue by 17.1
33.52.2
24.426.7
Auto12.5
Teleop17.8
End3.2
Second
9228
#13
10.01.2
7.66.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.7
End0.8
blue by 18.2
28.31.3
24.225.5
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End1.3
Third
5182
#32
6.91.2
6.04.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End0.6
red by 1.2
7814
#29
5.71.3
5.46.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed