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Red52
362019.1
571232.0
52278.6
Blue51
421615.1
705410.3
89425.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5150304060705251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.9
20.621.4
Auto13.6
Teleop16.4
End2.0
red by 6.7
894
#3
25.30.2
21.121.3
Auto8.1
Teleop15.4
End1.8
Second
19.10.9
16.117.0
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.4
red by 4.0
4216
#12
15.10.2
10.510.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Third
5227
#34
8.60.9
7.58.4
Auto5.5
Teleop1.7
End1.4
blue by 1.7
7054
#30
10.30.4
15.716.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed