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Red26
95496.9
19408.9
592616.2
Blue46
7423.1
550115.5
974315.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304402060801001202646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5926
#24
16.20.3
13.713.4
Auto6.8
Teleop8.2
End1.2
blue by 7.0
74
#5
23.10.9
18.119.0
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End2.3
Second
1940
#21
8.90.3
8.27.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End0.6
blue by 6.7
5501
#20
15.50.9
10.811.7
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Third
9549
#26
6.90.3
6.66.3
Auto1.4
Teleop4.7
End0.8
blue by 8.0
9743
#11
15.00.5
9.29.7
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed