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Red34
571232.0
19408.9
72107.2
Blue62
550115.5
423728.3
477616.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4163020801003462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.6
25.124.5
Auto13.6
Teleop16.4
End2.0
red by 3.8
28.30.2
26.626.8
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End1.3
Second
1940
#21
8.90.6
7.97.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End0.6
blue by 7.3
4776
#19
16.10.3
16.016.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Third
7210
#36
7.20.6
6.45.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 8.3
5501
#20
15.50.3
11.712.0
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed