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Red54
276733.5
52278.6
485515.7
Blue37
432516.4
561013.9
592616.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644220801001205437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.1
30.430.3
Auto12.5
Teleop17.8
End3.2
red by 17.1
4325
#14
16.40.5
14.814.3
Auto6.4
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Second
4855
#16
15.70.1
16.416.2
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End1.6
blue by 0.5
5926
#24
16.20.9
13.412.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Third
5227
#34
8.60.1
8.58.3
Auto5.5
Teleop1.7
End1.4
blue by 5.2
5610
#17
13.90.9
12.511.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed