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Red53
362019.1
89425.3
505613.0
Blue58
975810.1
78114.6
205431.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554102060801005358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#3
25.30.3
21.621.9
Auto8.1
Teleop15.4
End1.8
blue by 5.9
31.32.1
24.726.8
Auto12.0
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Second
19.10.5
16.917.5
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.4
red by 9.0
9758
#23
10.11.3
11.712.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End0.2
Third
5056
#18
13.00.5
9.810.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.4
red by 8.5
7811
#33
4.61.3
2.84.0
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed