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Red20
92396.7
592716.2
567522.9
Blue19
96388.6
78145.7
97718.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4525010203040506070802019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.92.1
15.913.9
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End0.4
red by 14.3
9638
#22
8.61.2
9.07.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Second
5927
#15
16.22.1
15.513.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End1.0
red by 7.7
9771
#35
8.51.2
9.58.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Third
9239
#28
6.71.2
7.25.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End0.8
red by 1.0
7814
#29
5.70.7
6.86.0
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed