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Red33
72107.2
550115.5
561013.9
Blue81
205431.3
7423.1
976315.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26720204060801001203381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#20
15.50.4
12.012.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
blue by 15.7
31.31.2
26.828.0
Auto12.0
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Second
5610
#17
13.90.4
11.712.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
blue by 9.3
74
#5
23.11.2
19.620.8
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End2.3
Third
7210
#36
7.20.4
5.86.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 7.9
9763
#27
15.10.7
13.714.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned