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Red46
92396.7
89425.3
571232.0
Blue76
362019.1
276733.5
592616.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566840506080904676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.9
24.523.6
Auto13.6
Teleop16.4
End2.0
blue by 1.5
33.51.7
30.332.0
Auto12.5
Teleop17.8
End3.2
Second
894
#3
25.30.6
21.921.3
Auto8.1
Teleop15.4
End1.8
red by 6.2
19.11.7
17.519.2
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Third
9239
#28
6.70.6
5.95.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 9.5
5926
#24
16.21.7
12.614.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned