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Red48
345214.5
922810.0
477616.1
Blue23
52278.6
96388.6
95496.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4322060804823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#19
16.11.3
16.317.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End1.2
red by 7.5
5227
#34
8.60.1
8.38.4
Auto5.5
Teleop1.7
End1.4
Second
14.50.8
11.812.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End0.6
red by 5.9
9638
#22
8.60.1
7.77.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Third
9228
#13
10.00.8
8.08.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.7
End0.8
red by 3.1
9549
#26
6.90.1
6.46.4
Auto1.4
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed