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Red6
78114.6
705410.3
51826.9
Blue64
423728.3
485515.7
96714.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2455020406080100664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7054
#30
10.32.2
15.713.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End0.5
blue by 18.0
28.30.8
26.827.6
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End1.3
Second
5182
#32
6.91.3
6.14.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End0.6
blue by 8.7
4855
#16
15.71.3
16.217.5
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Third
7811
#33
4.61.3
4.02.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End0.7
blue by 0.2
9671
#38
4.81.3
3.44.6
Auto1.2
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed