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Red41
432516.4
52278.6
7423.1
Blue44
362019.1
345214.5
550115.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495030354045556065704144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#5
23.10.4
20.820.4
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End2.3
red by 4.1
19.10.0
19.219.2
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Second
4325
#14
16.40.2
15.615.3
Auto6.4
Teleop7.9
End2.1
red by 0.9
5501
#20
15.50.0
12.412.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Third
5227
#34
8.60.4
8.48.0
Auto5.5
Teleop1.7
End1.4
blue by 5.8
14.50.0
12.612.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed