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Red41
354620.3
51826.9
95496.9
Blue51
477616.1
89425.3
72107.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385001020306070804151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#10
20.30.1
21.821.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 5.0
894
#3
25.30.5
21.221.7
Auto8.1
Teleop15.4
End1.8
Second
5182
#32
6.90.0
5.95.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End0.6
blue by 9.2
4776
#19
16.10.7
17.618.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Third
9549
#26
6.90.1
7.87.9
Auto1.4
Teleop4.7
End0.8
blue by 0.3
7210
#36
7.20.7
5.36.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed