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Red66
505613.0
922810.0
276733.5
Blue49
485515.7
421615.1
550115.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594420801006649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.51.5
33.835.3
Auto12.5
Teleop17.8
End3.2
red by 17.9
4855
#16
15.70.7
15.616.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Second
5056
#18
13.01.6
9.411.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 2.5
5501
#20
15.50.7
12.313.1
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Third
9228
#13
10.00.9
8.79.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.7
End0.8
blue by 5.1
4216
#12
15.10.5
14.014.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed